The yield on Britain’s 10-year Gilt surged past the 3% mark in September, the highest since 2011 driven by expectations of even higher interest rates and worries of unfunded fiscal expansion. The ECB increased policy rates by an unprecedented 75 bps and signaled further hikes ahead, which in turn, raised market bets on more tightening by the BoE. It comes after BoE Mann said that interest rates should be raised in a more aggressive pace as the central bank’s gradualist risks elevated inflation for a prolonged time. The central bank sees inflation peaking at 13.3% in October and projects the country to enter a recession in Q4 and lasting for five quarters. Meanwhile, the new Prime Minister Liz Truss announced that the government would cap domestic energy prices for households at £2,500 while limiting them for businesses to ease the ongoing cost-of-living crisis.
Historically, the United Kingdom Government Bond 10Y reached an all time high of 16.09 in November of 1981. United Kingdom Government Bond 10Y - data, forecasts, historical chart - was last updated on September of 2022.
The United Kingdom Government Bond 10Y is expected to trade at 3.09 percent by the end of this quarter, according to 王者荣耀电竞(江西)积分排榜 global macro models and analysts expectations. Looking forward, we estimate it to trade at 3.67 in 12 months time.